CAREER RISK LAB · INDEPENDENT CAREER INTELLIGENCE

Better evidence for decisions that shape a young person's future.

Career Risk Lab investigates how technology, labour markets, professional training and changing education routes are reshaping careers — helping parents and schools make important decisions with clearer evidence and less guesswork.

UK 2026/27 evidence base · Decision frameworks designed for use internationally

A parent and teenager reviewing university information together at home
IndependentNo paid profession rankings.
Evidence-ledPrimary and authoritative sources wherever possible.
TransparentData, CRL analysis and unknowns are separated.
CurrentMajor assessments carry an evidence date.

WHY CAREER RISK LAB EXISTS

Career information is everywhere. Decision-quality analysis is not.

Most careers services help young people discover opportunities, understand themselves, find courses or apply for programmes.

Career Risk Lab starts at a different point: when a family already has a serious option and needs to decide whether it is worth committing to.

What is actually changing?

Technology, hiring, professional work and regulation.

What does the commitment involve?

Time, cost, qualification and Training Lock-In.

What if our forecast is wrong?

Portability, alternative pathways and Option Value.

PROFESSION 2035

Ten professions. The same questions applied consistently.

Every CRL Career Guide examines a profession through the same Career Risk Lens, making meaningful differences easier to see without pretending they can be reduced to a single “safe career” score.

THE CRL FRAMEWORK

A framework, not a ranking.

Career Risk Lab does not publish a single “career safety score”. Careers contain different kinds of risk and opportunity. Collapsing them into one number hides the information families actually need.

01Underlying demand
02Task-level AI exposure
03First-Rung Risk
04AI Complementarity
05Economic substitution pressure
06Regulation and accountability
07Training Lock-In
08Career Portability
09Alternative pathways
10Geographic exposure
11Evidence confidence

First-Rung Risk

What happens when technology changes the work through which beginners traditionally learn?

Training Lock-In

How much must be committed before the student reaches a useful qualification or credible exit point?

AI Complementarity

Does technology substitute for professional value — or increase what a capable professional can achieve?

Option Value

What remains useful if our prediction about the future turns out to be wrong?

What the evidence shows. What CRL concludes. What nobody yet knows.

DATA

Claims supported by traceable published evidence: government statistics, professional regulators, academic research and transparent employer evidence.

CRL ANALYSIS

Career Risk Lab's interpretation of what the available evidence may mean for families making a decision.

UNKNOWN

Important questions where the evidence does not support a confident conclusion.

Uncertainty is not a weakness in the analysis. Hiding it is.

FROM RESEARCH TO DECISION

Turn the research into a family decision.

Reading about a profession is not the same as deciding whether a particular pathway is right for a particular teenager. The Parent Career Decision Canvas brings together the evidence, the teenager and the commitment in one structured conversation.

1

Fit

Is this something they actually want?

2

Commitment

What are we committing to?

3

Decision-critical risks

What could actually change the decision?

4

Uncertainty

What do we know, assume and genuinely not know?

5

Robustness

Does the choice still work if the future surprises us?

6

Next evidence

What will we find out before deciding?

Download the Parent Career Decision Canvas — Free

No score. No recommendation algorithm. A structured way to make a better decision.

Cover of What Should My Child Study? by Career Risk Lab

THE CAREER RISK LAB PARENT GUIDE

What Should My Child Study?

An evidence-based guide to degrees, apprenticeships and careers in the age of AI.

The flagship Career Risk Lab guide brings together the Career Risk Lens, ten profession analyses, university-versus-apprenticeship decisions, Option Value and the Parent Career Decision Canvas.

Amazon editions coming soon

UK 2026/27 evidence base · Framework designed for international use.

Books & Reports

FOR SCHOOLS

Better career conversations with parents — without another platform.

Career Risk Lab is designed to complement the careers systems schools already use, not replace them. Our role is different: independent research and decision tools that help parents understand changing professions, compare pathways and ask better questions.

  • Parent career guides
  • Parent Career Decision Canvas
  • Profession briefings
  • Parent presentation packs
  • Changing World of Work briefings
  • Annual evidence updates

Research & Briefings

Three questions shaping current CRL analysis. Full briefings will be published only when the underlying evidence review is complete.

EDITORIAL STANDARD

Our analysis cannot be bought.

Career Risk Lab exists to help families and schools evaluate consequential choices. Universities, employers, professional bodies and technology companies cannot pay to alter, suppress or improve a CRL assessment.

Where evidence is strong, we say so. Where our conclusion is analysis rather than fact, we label it. Where the evidence does not support an answer, we say UNKNOWN.

Read our editorial standards